Heat Pump Size Calculator: What Size Heat Pump Do I Need?

Free heat pump sizing calculator with cold-climate derating. Find the right heat pump size, balance point temperature, and supplemental heat needs for your home.

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Heat Pump Sizing by Home Size and Climate Zone

Recommended heat pump size in tons with supplemental heat needs for cold climates. Average insulation assumed.

Home SizeHot Climate
Zone 2
Mixed Climate
Zone 4
Cold Climate
Zone 6
Supplemental Heat
Zone 6 (kW)
1,000 sq ft1 tons1 tons2.5 tons2.5 kW
1,500 sq ft1.5 tons1.5 tons3.5 tons3.3 kW
2,000 sq ft1.5 tons1.5 tons4 tons5.2 kW
2,500 sq ft2 tons2 tons5 tons5.9 kW
3,000 sq ft2.5 tons2 tons6 tons6.5 kW
3,500 sq ft2.5 tons2.5 tons6.5 tons8.3 kW
4,000 sq ft3 tons3 tons7.5 tons8.9 kW
5,000 sq ft3.5 tons3.5 tons9 tons11 kW

Cold climate supplemental heat is electric strip heat (kW) needed when the heat pump cannot meet the full heating load at design temperature.

How We Calculate This

Heat pump sizing is more complex than AC sizing because the unit must handle both heating and cooling. In cold climates, the heating load dominates and the heat pump's capacity drops as outdoor temperature decreases. Here is how we calculate it:

  1. Calculate both heating and cooling loads using simplified ACCA Manual J methodology (envelope, infiltration, solar, internal gains, latent).
  2. Size for the dominant load: In cold climates (Zone 5+), size by heating load. In warm climates, size by cooling load.
  3. Apply cold-climate derating: Based on NEEP (Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships) data, heat pump capacity drops 12-50% at design temperatures. Zone 5: -25%, Zone 6: -33%, Zone 7: -42%.
  4. Calculate balance point: The outdoor temperature where heat pump capacity equals building heat loss. Below this, supplemental heat is needed.
  5. Calculate supplemental heat: The gap between heating load and derated heat pump capacity, converted to kW of electric strip heat.
  6. Estimate savings: Compare annual heating cost with current fuel vs. heat pump COP (varies by zone, 2.0-4.0).

This is our key differentiator: most online calculators ignore cold-climate derating entirely, leading to undersized heat pumps that cannot keep homes warm on the coldest days.

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This calculator gives you a solid estimate. For permit-ready numbers backed by ACCA Manual J methodology, upload your blueprints and get your first report free.

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